Syria in a Week (16 April 2018)

Syria in a Week (16 April 2018)

The following is a selection by our editors of significant weekly developments in Syria. Depending on events, each issue will include anywhere from four to eight briefs. This series is produced in both Arabic and English in partnership between Salon Syria and Jadaliyya. Suggestions and blurbs may be sent to info@salonsyria.com.

 

“Soft” Strike and “Fatal” Division

9-15 April 2018

This week witnessed the eruption of a new international conflict and the formation of a US-British-French tripartite coalition to “punish” Damascus.

After the claimed “chemical” attack on Douma in eastern Ghouta last week, the United States stepped up its threats to carry out a military strike against the Syrian government as “punishment for crossing the red line,” which was set by former President Barak Obama in 2012.

France and Britain supported President Donald Trump’s approach and expressed their desire to participate in the military action. After a failed session in the UN Security Council on Tuesday, which ended in a Russian veto against a US draft resolution calling for the establishment of an investigation mechanism regarding the use of chemical weapons in Syria, President Trump said on his Twitter account that Russia should get ready for US missiles that will hit Syria.

After that, he retracted his statement through another tweet saying that he did not set a time, and that it could be very soon or not so soon. This was echoed by Russian responses, which included the demand that Trump direct his “missiles towards terrorists instead of directing them towards the Syrian government.”

This strain showed the extent of tensions in the international arena, raised the stakes for a major deterioration among the super powers, and was reflected in currency and commodity markets and global stocks.

In the face of this escalation, Damascus agreed to receive an investigation committee from the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons, which arrived on Saturday and is set to visit the site of the attack. (Reuters)

Before the arrival of international inspectors to Douma and before the British Parliament convenes on Monday (due to Prime Minister Theresa May’s concern that she would not get support, just like what happened with her predecessor David Cameron in 2013), the three countries carried out one hundred and five strikes on Saturday that targeted the Scientific Research Center in Barzeh, Damascus, the Scientific Research Center in Hama, and a military depot in Homs.

There were contradicting statements regarding whether the missiles achieved their objectives, as the Russian Defense Ministry said that seventy-one out of one hundred and three missiles were intercepted, while the Pentagon said that no missiles were brought down and that they successfully achieved their objectives. (Reuters)

The strike was not meant to stop the war or “change the regime” instead they were meant to target the Syrian government’s ability to use chemical weapons; it was a limited strike that has achieved its objective, according to several spokesmen from the tripartite coalition. The strike received support from NATO, Canada, Israel, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar, and was opposed by Russia, China, Iran, Iraq, Lebanon, and Egypt, illustrating the continuous international and regional contradictions regarding the Syrian issue.

However, the limited scope of the strike and the Syrian government’s readiness for it, which was manifested by the evacuation of the targeted sites, in addition to not targeting any sites of the Syrian government’s allies, rendered the previous threats of a severe strike against the Syrian government meaningless. Some observers considered that the Syrian government was able to overcome the strike with minimal losses and would not change its policies, and that it will strengthen its alliance with Russia and Iran.

Amid all these thorny and contradictory issues, which indicate that the strike was a step in the deteriorating course of the Syrian war, and with the continuation of violence and no international will to stop the violence or find an exit, this strike once again showed the gravity of war for the Syrians. This war is getting increasingly complicated as time passes by, and the fragmentation within the Syrian people was manifested by those who celebrated repelling the aggression and others who celebrated launching the attack. This is one aspect of fragmentation that will be hard to cure.

Just like in Ghouta and Afrin, Syrians have shown a fatal rupture that threatens their identity and social fabric. The contradiction lies in the fact that Syrians have long suffered from the US role that has supported Israel for decades and destroyed Iraq by invading it and crushing its structure. Many people see Trump as a far cry from the demands of freedom and justice that the peoples of the region aspire to. On the other hand, the Syrian government has launched an internal law, violating all that is forbidden internationally and popularly, refusing change by force. Profanation of life has become a friend of Syrians. The more foreign support the Syrian government gets from Russia and Iran, the more intransigent it gets.

Are choices confined to local tyranny or international tyranny?

 

Douma in the Hands of the Government

14 April 2018

The pace of the agreement between Jaish al-Islam and Russian forces accelerated after the claimed chemical attack, which was accompanied by military escalation by the Syrian government and Russian forces last week. Jaish al-Islam agreed to leave for Aleppo countryside and hand over Douma to Russian military police. On Saturday, the Syrian army command announced the restoration of Douma and the entry of Syrian police into the city. Thus, eastern Ghouta is now under the control of the Syrian government and the only enclave remaining outside its control is Yarmouk Camp and al-Hajar al-Aswad, which are partially controlled by ISIS.

The next station is expected to be in southern Damascus and then in Homs countryside, leaving the future of Idlib, Daraa’ countryside, and east of the Euphrates subject to Russian understandings with regional and international powers.

Syria in a Week (9 April 2018)

Syria in a Week (9 April 2018)

The following is a selection by our editors of significant weekly developments in Syria. Depending on events, each issue will include anywhere from four to eight briefs. This series is produced in both Arabic and English in partnership between Salon Syria and Jadaliyya. Suggestions and blurbs may be sent to info@salonsyria.com.

 

Chemical Weapons Once Again

8 April 2018

US President Donald Trump warned that those responsible for the reckless chemical attack on Douma in the Ghouta of Damascus would pay a “big price.” President Trump said in a tweet on Sunday that “President [Vladimir] Putin, Russia, and Iran are responsible for backing [Bashar] al-Assad… Big price to pay.”

At least one hundred civilians were killed on Friday night when the government continued its military airstrikes on Douma city, which is under opposition control in eastern Ghouta, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR). Reports regarding a suspected attack with “poisonous gases” stirred international condemnation after opposition members and rescue workers accused Syrian government forces of carrying out the attack which left scores of victims in Douma, the last enclave for opposition factions in eastern Ghouta.

Official Syrian television along with Russia, an ally of the government, denied accusations of using chemical weapons.

This latest suspected attack comes one year after the town of Khan Sheikhoun was subject to an attack with sarin gas, killing more than eighty people. The UN accused government forces of carrying out that attack.

Trump responded to the latter attack three days after by launching fifty-nine cruise missiles from US warships in the Mediterranean towards a Syrian airbase.

Assad denied giving orders for the attack as Russia continued to provide diplomatic cover for him in the UN.

President Trump criticized his predecessor on Sunday for failing to attack after warning that the use of chemical weapons in Syria was a “red line.” Trump said, “If President Obama had crossed his stated Red Line in The Sand, the Syrian disaster would have ended long ago! Animal Assad would have been history!”

Afterwards, the official Syrian television reported an official source saying that an agreement was reached that provides for the release of all the abducted people held in Douma by Jaish al-Islam, which controls Douma, in exchange for the exit of Jaish al-Islam from the city. The official source added that the fighters would leave and venture towards Jarablus in northern Syria near the Turkish borders.

 

Exploitation of Sovereignty: The Ankara Meeting

4 April 2018

Leaders of Turkey, Iran, and Russia met in Ankara, Turkey, on Wednesday. In a joint statement, the leaders said they were determined to accelerate efforts to guarantee “stability on the ground” in Syria and protect civilians in “de-escalation zones.” They confirmed their adherence to the Astana formula has been proven to contribute to stability, according to the Anatolia News Agency. They also confirmed their adherence to the sovereignty, independence, and political integrity of Syria.

It is worth mentioning that this summit comes after the Russians and Iranians provided support for government forces in their brutal military attack on Ghouta, which is one of the de-escalation zones, and after the Olive Branch Operation, in which Turkey, along with allied opposition armed factions, captured Afrin through a wide-scale military operation.

In a related context, Turkey criticized the ambiguous position of the United States in Syria regarding the uncertainty of how long US forces will stay. There is also heated debate surrounding Manbij, as Turkey is demanding the withdrawal of the People’s Protection Units from it or else it will intervene militarily, while US forces are present in the city, fueling the Turkish-US tensions over the situation of the Kurds. The irony continued with the spokesman for the Turkish President saying that there is no need to intervene in Tal Rafa’at in light of Moscow’s assertion that there are no People’s Protection Units in it.

Turkey accused France of supporting terrorists in Syria after a meeting between the French president and a Syrian delegation that included the People’s Protection Units and the Democratic Union Party on 30 March. The French president reiterated France’s support to stabilize northern Syria by combatting the Islamic State. Turkey said this support amounted to support for terrorism.

Negotiations and decisions regarding every aspect and village in Syria with the use of blatant military force and Syrians nowhere in sight, and under the slogan of protecting the unity and sovereignty of Syria, this is how the various parties are breaching the agreements signed, while the Syrian people are paying the material and moral price and celebrate the success of the agreements!

 

Exploitation of Property: Law No. 10

2 April 2018

In light of the legislative work frame for the reconstruction of Syria, within the context of collecting the post-war spoils and after all the injustice to the lives and property of Syrians, Law No. 10 of 2018 has been issued, which stipulates the creation of one or more regulatory zones within the regulatory plan for administrational units in cities, according to a decree based on a proposal from the Minister of Local Administration and Environment. The law also provides for the amendment of some of the provisions in Legislative Decree No. 66 of 2012. This law comes in the same context of previous legislation to pre-distribute resources and profits of the reconstruction of Syria, as it comes after Decree No. 19 of 2015 that allowed administrational units to establish “private” holding companies to deal with the property and rights of these units.

Law No. 10 is based on the creation of a new regulatory zone and calls upon property owners and in-kind right holders to submit applications to prove their rights within thirty days. Property and land cases and their allocation are one of the most complicated cases in times of peace and welfare, however, in times of war, destruction, loss of documents and rights, forgery, looting, displacement, and intimidation, they become close to impossible. The current steps are taken within short time frames that can only be justified by the will to continue to plunder what is left, which is the land and future projects.

Syria in a Week (2 April 2018)

Syria in a Week (2 April 2018)

The following is a selection by our editors of significant weekly developments in Syria. Depending on events, each issue will include anywhere from four to eight briefs. This series is produced in both Arabic and English in partnership between Salon Syria and Jadaliyya. Suggestions and blurbs may be sent to info@salonsyria.com.

 

No Opposition in Ghouta

1 April 2018

Jaish al-Islam (Islam Army) and Russia have reached an agreement that provides for the evacuation of fighters and civilians who want to leave Douma, the last enclave under opposition control in the eastern Ghouta of Damascus, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR) on Sunday.

The SOHR said that the agreement provided for “The exit of Jaish al-Islam fighters and their civilian families who want to leave for northern Syria, while Russian military police enter the city,” as a first step before “government institutions are reinstated.”

Negotiations, which have been going on for a while, focused on the destination of Jaish al-Islam, and concluded by agreeing on the latter’s exit towards areas controlled by factions allied to Turkey in the north-eastern countryside of Aleppo.

Government forces reinforced their deployment around Douma in conjunction with the negotiations and prepared themselves for military action in case an agreement with the Jaish al-Islam faction could not be reached.

Jaish al-Islam leaders had repeatedly refused any solution that included their evacuation to any other area. They were seeking to reach an agreement that allowed the opposition faction to stay in Douma with Russian military police entering it as well.

This final agreement comes after another agreement to evacuate hundreds of civilians from Douma, according to the SOHR, which added that they included “activists, doctors, and families from al-Rahman Corps faction,” which left eastern Ghouta last week.

Following an aggressive aerial offensive launched on 18 February, which was later accompanied by a ground operation, government forces gradually tightened their grip on opposition factions and divided Ghouta into three separate enclaves. After pressures mounted, these factions started unilateral and direct operations with Russia that resulted in evacuations from the enclaves in Harasta and south of Ghouta.

Evacuation of members of al-Rahman Corps and civilians from south of Ghouta ended on Saturday with the evacuation of more than forty thousand people.

 

Afrin Part of Turkey?

31 March 2018

“Afrin will become part of the Turkish city Hatai,” a spokesman for the Rescue Afrin Conference said on Saturday. The conference convened on 19 March and was attended by one hundred Kurdish, Arab, Alawite, and Yazidi personalities, resulting in the election of a council of thirty-five personalities, according to the Kurdish media network Rudaw.

“Among members of the council, there are twenty-four Kurds, eight Arabs, one Alawite, one Kurdish Yazidi, and one Turkman. It will begin work relating to the reconstruction of Afrin and conducting affairs of the city,” said Shindi in an interview with the Turkish part of the website.

“They sent the list of elected members to the Turkish foreign ministry. Things will be clear within a week or ten days, and after that the council members will head for Afrin.” Shindi added.

“Turkey will appoint a governor for Afrin to manage the city, but we do not know who this governor will be. However, he will be appointed by the Turkish side who will also send a Qaimagam (sub-governor) to Afrin,” the spokesman for the Rescue Afrin Conference went on to say adding that “in addition to revealing aspects of how Afrin will be managed, some steps have been taken towards securing the city as well.”

“A police force made up of four hundred and fifty personnel has been formed,” said Shindi. Various political personalities and civil parties from Afrin in Kurdistan Syria had announced the formation of Afrin Civil Council to “administer the civil aspect of the area and work for the return of the displaced”.

 

United States: Stay or Leave?

31 March 2018

Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Crown Prince and Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Defense, called for US units not to be withdrawn from Syria. “We believe American troops should stay for at least the mid-term, if not the long-term,” said the Crown Prince in an interview with Time magazine published on Friday.

“We are knocking the hell out of ISIS. We will be coming out of Syria, like, very soon. Let the other people take care of it now,” US President Donald Trump unexpectedly said in a speech in Ohio on Thursday.

It is worth mentioning that the United States is leading an international coalition to fight ISIS in Syria. The Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) are fighting alongside this international coalition.

The Saudi Crown Prince said that the US presence in Syria is the last attempt to prevent Iran from expanding its influence in the region, adding that Iran is working with regional militias and allies on building a land route that starts in Lebanon and passes through Syria and Iraq and reaches the Iranian capital of Tehran.

Two senior officials in the US administration said that President Trump informed his advisors that he wants to withdraw US forces from Syria very soon. The National Security Council is to hold a meeting early next week to discuss the campaign against ISIS.

President Trump ordered the Secretary of State to freeze more than two hundred million dollars of funds allocated for recovery efforts in Syria, as his administration re-evaluates the US role in the long-running war there.

The former Secretary of State Rex Tillerson had pledged to provide these funds during a meeting of the international coalition in Kuwait in February.

 

Syrian Phosphate for Russia or Iran?

28 March 2018

The Syrian Parliament ratified a contract between the General Establishment for Geology and Mineral Resources and the Russian company Stroy Trans Gas on the investment and extraction of phosphate ores from al-Sharqieh mines in Palmyra.

According to the terms of the agreement, the production will be divided between the two sides, with the General Establishment for Geology getting thirty percent, while paying the value of the government’s obligations for the phosphate produced, in addition to other expenses estimated at two percent, according to Russia Today website.The contract expires in fifty years and is set to produce 2.2 million tons annually in a geological sector that is believed to contain one hundred and five million tons.

The Syrian Petroleum Minister Ali Ghanem, according to press statements, said that there is a huge reserve of phosphate ores in the mines of al-Sharqieh, which are estimated at 1.8 billion tons, adding that the production capacity of the General establishment for Phosphate and Mines reached three and a half million tons annually before the war in Syria started.

The General Director of the General Establishment for Phosphate and Mines Ali Khalil confirmed the return of the establishment’s production in the mines of Khnaifis and al-Sharqieh after they were liberated from ISIS.

Stroy Trans Gas has carried out projects in Russia including the construction of a gas treatment plant, and is constructing another plant now.

In early 2017, Syria and Iran signed memorandums of cooperation, which included Iran’s investment of Syrian Phosphate. The recent agreement reflects Russia’s quests to obtain privileges in Syria’s strategic resources.

Syria in a Week (24 March 2018)

Syria in a Week (24 March 2018)

The following is a selection by our editors of significant weekly developments in Syria. Depending on events, each issue will include anywhere from four to eight briefs. This series is produced in both Arabic and English in partnership between Salon Syria and Jadaliyya. Suggestions and blurbs may be sent to info@salonsyria.com.


Afrin in Turkey’s Hand

18 March 2018

Turkish Forces and Syrian armed opposition factions allied to them were able to enter Afrin after launching the Olive Branch Operation, which lasted for eight weeks and led to the withdrawal of the Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) and the displacement of nearly two-thirds of the city’s population.

“The estimate now is one hundred and sixty-seven thousand people have been displaced by hostilities in Afrin district,” spokesman of the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Assistance Jens Laerke said in a Geneva briefing. According to Laerke, there are around fifty to seventy thousand civilians inside the city, where health conditions are extremely difficult. The World Health Organization said that there is just one operational hospital out of four located in the city.

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights estimated the number of displaced people from Afrin to be around two hundred and fifty thousand people. It also reported the deaths of two hundred and eighty-nine civilians including forty-three children, in addition to one thousand and five hundred Kurdish fighters. At least four hundred and ninety-six fighters from Turkish forces and opposition factions were killed, including seventy-eight Turkish soldiers.

Reports and photos from the Kurdish city and other villages show a great number of public and private property being subject to systematic looting carried out by factions of the Free Syrian Army, which participated in the operation. The looting included vehicles, houses, agricultural machines, and commercial shops. Leaked videos revealed human rights violations, field executions of Kurdish civilians and prisoners of wars, and humiliation of citizens and insult to their beliefs, as in the destruction of the statue of Kawa the Blacksmith which symbolizes the oppression and injustice Kurds faced at the hands of a Persian king, according to a local legend, and is linked to the Nowruz festival, the Kurdish New Years’ Eve which is celebrated on the twenty-first of March.

Several opposition members condemned these acts by the factions. The Turkish army has deployed military police in Afrin.

The issue of civilians in Afrin has created a crisis between Ankara, on one hand, and Paris and Berlin, on the other, after sharp criticism by the French President Emmanuel Macron and the German Chancellor Angela Merkel. Salih Muslim, the former co-chairman of the Democratic Union Party, which is considered the main Syrian Kurdish political movement, said that Turkey would not have succeeded in its operation without Russian support. “We are disappointed by the Russians because they had some obligations when they came to Syria… they promised that they were going to protect the Syrian territory,” Muslim said in a press conference in Stockholm. “Russia did not do anything (about the Turkish incursion), they gave the green light to Turkey and everybody is sure that if Turkey did not have the green light from Russia then they would not have done it,” he added.

 

Mobile Massacres

20 March 2018

A rocket launched Tuesday by opposition factions on a crowded popular market in Kashkool neighborhood, between Dwailaa and Jarmana neighborhoods in the outskirts of Damascus, has led to the deaths of at least thirty-five people, most of whom were civilians. The toll is likely to increase with tens of casualties in critical conditions. Local residents in the neighborhood said that the rocket hit a street known for its cheap prices, which gave people a chance to go shopping ahead of Mother’s Day in Syria, which is celebrated on 21March.

According to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR), the number of civilian casualties from mortar shells has risen to one hundred and seventy-nine, including twenty-five children and twenty-four women. The SOHR also documented the injury of more than eight hundred and fifteen people as a result of daily targeting in more than four consecutive months.

The intense shelling carried out by Syrian government forces with Russian aerial support on eastern Ghouta has left at least twenty-nine civilians dead in Douma, raising the toll of casualties since the start of military operations in Ghouta to one thousand and five hundred and seventeen civilians including three hundred and eleven children. Military air jets, most likely to be Syrian, targeted a bunker beneath a school in the city of Arbin in eastern Ghouta, resulting in a massacre that killed fifteen children and two women, in addition to fifty-two wounded civilians. Evacuation of medical cases along with members of their families continued in the city of Douma under an agreement between Jaish al-Islam (Islam Army) and Russia. “One thousand and eight hundred people, including three hundred and seventy-five sick people were evacuated in one week,” according to a medical source of the AFP. On 21 March, sixteen children were killed in an air raid carried out by planes, which could not be identified as Syrian or Russian, near a village school in Idlib governorate, according to the SOHR. “The aerial bombardment of the village of Kafr Battiekh in the eastern countryside of Idlib happened near a school while students were leaving for homes,” the SOHR added, noting that the children who died were less than eleven years old.

The bombardment left four other civilians dead according to the SOHR, adding that among those killed, there were fifteen people from the same family.

 

The “Victory” in Ghouta?

20 March 2018

With the start of the attack by Syrian government forces on eastern Ghouta on 18 February, a rivalry between Damascus and Moscow emerged over claiming the expected “victory” in Ghouta.

Pro-Syrian sources leaked a list of five hundred and forty-five military personnel of government forces, including thirty-five Russian servicemen, who were killed in the fighting. The Facebook page of the Russian base in Hmeimim said that “Russian forces provided aerial and ground support during the battles that led to achieving victory in a short period of time, and servicemen have sacrificed their lives.”

According to this same page, President Bashar al-Assad spoke during his visit to Ghouta to members of the Republican Guard and did not meet with forces of Brigadier Suhail al-Hasan, a.k.a. the Tiger, who enjoys special Russian support. Hmeimim base said “In this war, there are names that will be written down in history. Russian President Vladimir Putin has emphasized this during his meeting with al-Hasan.” It also added that Putin demanded that Russian units provide “special protection” for the “Tiger”. Reports say that Putin is preparing a “pleasant surprise” for the “Tiger”.

Al-Assad has been on a tour in Ghouta of Damascus. Opposition members pointed to the photos of destruction and the absence of civilians in the towns and cities of Ghouta.

 

Tal Rafaat Before Manbij

21 March 2018

Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said on Wednesday that Turkey and the United States have come to an understanding and not a full agreement on achieving stabilization in the city of Manbij and other areas in northern Syria under Kurdish control. Turkey repeatedly threatened to extend its operations further east to Manbij, where US forces are stationed. The expansion of the Turkish army’s operations to wider areas in the east under Kurdish control threatens a confrontation between the two NATO members. Cavusoglu denied that Ankara and Washington reached an agreement on the fate of Manbij, which is located one hundred kilometers east of Afin. “We said we have reached an understanding, which is mainly that Syria’s Manbij and the east of the Euphrates are stabilized. We said we have reached an understanding, not an agreement,” he added.

He went on to say that Ankara has been seeking an agreement with Washington on who will provide security in Manbij after the withdrawal of the Kurdish People’s Protection Units, which Turkey considers a “terrorist organization,” stressing that the withdrawal from Manbij will not be enough. “First, the People’s Protection Units will leave, and the people of Manbij will govern the city. The security of the area will be ensured. We will apply the Manbij model to other areas controlled by the People’s Protection Units as well,” he said. This has resulted in a crisis between the two countries. Outgoing US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson took a leading role in recent weeks to resolve the dispute, promising to find a solution for Manbij during a visit to Turkey last month. Cavusoglu’s talk came after a meeting between senior officials from the two countries on 21 March to follow up on the issue of Manbij. Turkey said that US President Donald Trump’s decision to sack Tillerson may delay the potential agreement between the two countries.

The next day, a US military and political delegation, which included Maj. Gen. Jamie Jarrard and US Ambassador William Roebuck, visited Manbij to reassure both Kurdish and Arab allies, in a step that challenges the position of Turkey, which signaled a military operation in Manbij if Kurdish fighters did not withdraw.

Turkey later announced that it would not enter Manbij until the United States fulfills its commitments, however, Ankara has focused its efforts on controlling Tal Rafaat according to an understanding with Russia.

 

Settling, Displacement, and Cheering for Al-Assad

24 March 2018

Ahrar al-Sham fighters and their families have left Harasta in Ghouta and headed for Idlib, after that, al-Rahman Corps fighters left Jobar, Ain Tarma, Arbin, and Zamalka, in conjunction with negotiations between Jaish al-Islam (Islam Army) and the Russian army to establish a “special status” for the city of Douma.

An agreement between the Representative of Russian Defense Minister Alexander Zwein and al-Rahman Corps provided for the deployment of the Russian army in areas the opposition leaves, and treatment of the injured in Russian hospitals in Syria, emphasizing Russia’s role in the agreement at the expense of Iran and the Syrian government.

A mass exodus from the city of Douma continued in the last few days through al-Wafideen crossing in northern Ghouta, which is one of three crossings set by government forces for those wishing to exit areas controlled by the opposition.

The bombardment and fighting have forced more than eighty-seven thousand civilians to flee the city since 15 March and head towards government controlled areas. More than thirty thousand stayed in their homes in towns south of Ghouta, which were taken over by the government army, according to the SOHR. During more than one month of fighting, around one thousand and six hundred and thirty civilians were killed, including around three hundred and thirty children. On Thursday, the first installment of one thousand and five hundred and eighty people, including four hundred and thirteen fighters, left Harasta and reached Idlib governorate after a very long trip. Opposition fighters agreed to hand the city to the government in exchange for providing safe passage and pardons for civilians who decided to remain there.

In a related context, social network activists circulated a video published by Enab Baladi website in which Mohammed Qabannadh, a member of the Syrian Parliament and a television producer, demanded that displaced people from eastern Ghouta cheer for President Bashar al-Assad in order to get water. The parliamentarian repeated his demands for the displaced to “glorify al-Assad and his wise leadership and to cheer for his life,” in addition to insulting Saudi Arabia and the United States, who are presumed to be supporters of the opposition. This was condemned by many Syrians.

During years of conflict, several Syrian areas, including cities and towns near Damascus, witnessed the evacuation of thousands of opposition fighters and civilians under agreements with government forces, following sieges and violent attacks, the most prominent of which were in Aleppo at the end of 2016.

 

Syria in a Week (19 February 2018)

Syria in a Week (19 February 2018)

The following is a selection by our editors of significant weekly developments in Syria. Depending on events, each issue will include anywhere from four to eight briefs. This series is produced in both Arabic and English in partnership between Salon Syria and Jadaliyya. Suggestions and blurbs may be sent to info@salonsyria.com.


“Useful Syria” with United States and its Allies

14 February 2018

US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said at the end of the Ministerial Meeting of the Global Coalition against ISIS in Kuwait that the United States and its allies control thirty percent of Syrian territories and oil fields. The total area of Syria is one hundred and eighty-five thousand square kilometers.

“We are very active in the discussions that are moving, all the talk toward Geneva. There are efforts to unify the opposition,” Tillerson said and added: “We are working very closely with Russia, who has the greatest influence on the Assad regime and can bring Assad and the regime to the negotiating table in Geneva in order to reach a unified Syria.”

This coincided with the meeting of fifteen defense ministers, representing countries in the Global Coalition, in which they discussed continuing their joint action. The US Defense Minister James Mattis talked about the need to reinstate public services in areas in eastern Syria, where ISIS has been driven out by Syrian Democratic Forces backed by the United States.

On the other hand, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov warned against “dangerous unilateral measures” taken by the United States in eastern Syria, saying that these measures “threaten the unity of the country.”

Fuss over Russian “Mercenaries”

14 February 2018

A fuss has risen in Moscow after leaks about units of ‘Russian mercenaries’ fighting alongside Syrian government forces in Syria coming under fierce attack on the night of 8 February, near the city of Deir al-Zour and US forces, which resulted in a great number of deaths.

Phone conversations made by survivors of the “massacre” were leaked, in which they described the details of the surprise attack and its consequences. They strongly criticized Russian authorities who “avoided even mentioning this disaster, as if we are not humans.”

According to media reports, the leaks came from Ukraine where “colleagues” of the “Russian mercenaries” are active in the ongoing battles, within the so-called Wagner Army, which is comprised of informal armed formations that pay good salaries in exchange for carrying out special military operations.

Details of the participation of this army alongside government forces in battles that sought to control oil positions in Syria were widely circulated. This army was strongly active in the Ukrainian war alongside Ukrainian separatists backed by Moscow. The Russian government does not formally recognize the presence of a ‘special army’ in Syria, and does not usually incorporate its losses in official Russian military losses.

In three of the phone conversations made by survivors of the US bombardment with their friends, the callers talked about the details the occurred that night.

It is worth mentioning, that a short time before the conversations were leaked, Russian volunteers in Ukraine created some chaos on the ‘tragedy’ their colleagues suffered in Syria.

The Kremlin said it had no information about reports of the killing of Russian mercenaries in Syria, and that it only knows of the presence of individuals from Russian armed forces.

 

Turkish Post in Idlib

16 February 2018

Turkish forces have established a new ‘observation post’ in the governorate of Idlib, according to government media reports.

The official Anatolia news agency said the post, a center with a small number of soldiers deployed to monitor clashes, is seventy kilometers away from the Turkish border in the Syrian governorate situated northwest of the country.

The news agency added that a Turkish military convoy crossed the Turkish-Syrian border. The post was established in the town of Ma’ret al-No’man, southeast of Idlib.

This is the sixth such post in the governorate, after the Turkish army established two other posts this month, in addition to three other posts previously established in October and November.

Turkish military convoys have come under attacks, including one in February resulting in the death of one soldier.

 

Afrin and Manbij

17 February 2018

Features of international/regional understandings to divide northern Syrian have started to emerge, in which US-Turkish forces are deployed in the town of Manbij, in exchange for a Russian-supported ‘symbolic presence’ of Syrian government forces in the town of Afrin.

Talks were held between the Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) and Damascus to reach a deal stipulating “the symbolic entrance of Syrian government forces and security institutions to central Afrin.” This coincided with the regime allowing Kurds to demonstrate in Damascus against the Turkish operation, holding pictures of the leader of the Kurdistan Worker’s Party (PKK) Abdullah Ocallan, who was arrested nineteen years ago after being expelled from Damascus according to an understanding with Ankara. The PKK has been considered a terrorist organization ever since.

This coincided with an understanding between Ankara and the US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson on the deployment of Turkish-US forces in Manbij to kick out the YPG to east of the Euphrates.

 

The Ghouta of Damascus: The End of the De-escalation

18 February 2018

Eastern Ghouta has witnessed a race between negotiations to reach an agreement and a military resolution that government forces have prepared for by mobilizing forces of Brigadier Suhail al-Hasan, a.k.a The Tiger.

According to media sources close to government forces, massive military reinforcements led by the renowned Brigadier Suhail al-Hasan have arrived at the outskirts of eastern Ghouta near Damascus.

Sources told the German news agency that the reinforcements came from Idlib countryside to an area called Tal Kurdi in the northern part of Ghouta to launch a wide-scale attack on armed opposition positions in eastern Ghouta.

Government forces, backed by Syrian and Russian jetfighters, have stepped up their bombardment of eastern Ghouta last week, leading to more than one thousand and five hundred deaths and injuries.

In a reference to the upcoming ground operation, the Russian Reconciliation Center in Hmeimim Airbase announced that Moscow “will support the ground movement of government forces in the de-escalation zone in eastern Ghouta to eliminate al-Nusra Front in case peaceful means fail to achieve that.”